Risk factors and prognosis of sentinel lymph node metastasis in breast-conserving breast cancer: A retrospective study based on the SEER database

Abstract

At present, the risk factors and prognosis of sentinel lymph node metastasis (SLNM) are analyzed based on the study of axillary lymph node metastasis, but whether there is a difference between the two is unclear. Therefore, an accurate and appropriate predictive model needs to be proposed to evaluate patients undergoing sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) for breast cancer. We selected 16983 women with breast cancer from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. They were randomly assigned to two cohorts, one for development (n = 11891) and one for validation (n = 5092). multi-factor logistics regression was used to distinguish risk factors affecting SLNM. The potential prognostic factors were identified using the COX regression analysis. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were calculated for all results. Multiple Cox models are included in the nomogram, with a critical P value of .05. In order to evaluate the model’s performance, Concordance index and receiver operating characteristic curves were used. Six independent risk factors affecting SLNM were screened out from the Logistic regression, including tumor location, number of regional lymph nodes (2-5), ER positive, PR positive, tumor size (T2-3), and histological grade (Grade II-III) are independent risk factors for SLNM in patients (P < .05). Eight prognostic factors were screened out in the multivariate COX regression analysis (P < .05): Age: Age 60 to 79 years, Age ≥ 80 years; Race; Histological grading: Grade II, Grade III; No radiotherapy; Tumor size: T2, T3; ER positive:, sentinel lymph node positive, married. Histological grade, tumor location, T stage, ER status, PR status and the number of SLNB are significantly correlated with axillary SLNM. Age, ethnicity, histological grade, radiotherapy, tumor size, ER status, SLN status, and marital status were independent risk factors for Breast cancer specific survival (BCSS). Moreover, the survival rate of patients with 3 positive SLNs was not significantly different from that with one or two positive SLNs, We concluded that patients with stage N1 breast cancer were exempt from axillary lymph node dissection, which is worthy of further study.