Geospatial analysis of cyanobacterial exposure and liver cancer in the contiguous United States

Abstract

Background and Aims: Cyanobacteria are commonly found in water bodies and their production of hepatotoxins can contribute to liver damage. However, the population health effects of cyanobacteria exposure (CE) are unknown. Our objectives were to determine the effect of chronic exposure to cyanobacteria through proximity to water bodies with high cyanobacteria counts on the incidence and mortality of liver cancers, as well as to identify location-based risk factors. Approach and Results: Across the contiguous United States, regions with high cyanobacteria counts in water bodies were identified using satellite remote sensing data. The data were geospatially mapped to county boundaries, and disease mortality and incidence rates were analyzed. Distinctive spatial clusters of CE and mortality related to liver diseases or cancer were identified. There was a highly significant spatial association between CE, liver disease, and liver cancer but not between CE and all cancers. Hot spots of CE and mortality were identified along the Gulf of Mexico, eastern Texas, Louisiana, and Florida, and cold spots across the Appalachians. The social vulnerability index was identified as a major location-based determinant by logistic regression, with counties in the fourth or fifth quintiles having the highest prevalence of hot spots of CE and mortality from liver cancer. Conclusions: These findings emphasize the importance of environmental exposure to cyanobacteria as a location-based determinant of mortality from liver cancer. Public health initiatives addressing CE may be considered to reduce mortality, particularly in areas of high social vulnerability.