The polar regions in a 2°C warmer world

Author:

Post Eric1ORCID,Alley Richard B.2ORCID,Christensen Torben R.3ORCID,Macias-Fauria Marc4ORCID,Forbes Bruce C.5,Gooseff Michael N.6ORCID,Iler Amy7,Kerby Jeffrey T.18ORCID,Laidre Kristin L.9ORCID,Mann Michael E.10ORCID,Olofsson Johan11ORCID,Stroeve Julienne C.1213ORCID,Ulmer Fran141516ORCID,Virginia Ross A.17ORCID,Wang Muyin1819

Affiliation:

1. Department of Wildlife, Fish, and Conservation Biology, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA 95616, USA.

2. Department of Geosciences, and Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA.

3. Department of Bioscience, Arctic Research Centre, Aarhus University, Frederiksborgvej 399, 4000 Roskilde, Denmark.

4. School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK.

5. Arctic Centre, University of Lapland, Box 122, FI-96101 Rovaniemi, Finland.

6. Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80303, USA.

7. Chicago Botanic Garden, 1000 Lake Cook Road, Glencoe, IL 60022, USA.

8. Neukom Institute for Computational Science, Institute of Arctic Studies, and Environmental Studies Program, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755, USA.

9. Polar Science Center, Applied Physics Laboratory, University of Washington, 1013 NE 40th Street, Seattle, WA 98105, USA.

10. Department of Meteorology and Atmospheric Science and Department of Geosciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA.

11. Department of Ecology and Environmental Science, Umeå University, S-901 87 Umeå, Sweden.

12. University College London, Bloomsbury, London, UK.

13. National Snow and Ice Data Center, Boulder, CO 80303, USA.

14. Chair, U.S. Arctic Research Commission, 420 L Street, Suite 315 Anchorage, AK 99501, USA.

15. Chair, U.S. Artic Research Commission, 4350 N. Fairfax Drive, Suite 510, Arlington, VA 22203, USA.

16. Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.

17. Institute of Arctic Studies, and Environmental Studies Program, Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH 03755, USA.

18. Joint Institute for the Study of the Atmosphere and Ocean, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98195, USA.

19. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory, Seattle, WA 98115, USA.

Abstract

Polar warming will have widespread near-term consequences for sea level rise, extreme weather, plants, animals, and humans.

Funder

U.S. National Science Foundation

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference155 articles.

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2. GISTEMPTeam NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (2018); https://science.gsfc.nasa.gov/earth/giss/.

3. Global surface temperature change;Hansen J.;Rev. Geophys.,2010

4. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change 2014: Impacts Adaptation and Vulnerability in Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change C. B. Field V. R. Barros D. J Dokken K. J. Mach M. D. Mastrandrea T. E. Bilir M. Chatterjee K. L. Ebi Y. O. Estrada R. C. Genova B. Girma E. S. Kissel A. N. Levy S. MacCracken P. R. Mastrandrea L. L. White Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press 2014) pp. 1132.

5. Observed connections of Arctic stratospheric ozone extremes to Northern Hemisphere surface climate;Ivy D. J.;Environ. Res. Lett.,2017

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