Human disturbances dominated the unprecedentedly high frequency of Yellow River flood over the last millennium

Author:

Yu Shi-Yong1ORCID,Li Wen-Jia23ORCID,Zhou Liang1ORCID,Yu Xuefeng4ORCID,Zhang Qiang56ORCID,Shen Zhixiong7ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Geography, Geomatics and Planning, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou 221116, China.

2. Group of Alpine Paleoecology and Human Adaptation (ALPHA), State Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Resources and Environment (TPESRE), Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Science, Beijing 100101, China.

3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China.

4. State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology, Institute of Earth Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xi’an 710075, China.

5. Advanced Interdisciplinary Institute of Environment and Ecology, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai 519087, China.

6. Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

7. Department of Marine Science, Coastal Carolina University, Conway, SC 29526, USA.

Abstract

A warming climate may increase flood hazard through boosting the global hydrological cycle. However, human impact through modifications to the river and its catchment is not well quantified. Here, we show a 12,000-year-long record of Yellow River flood events by synthesizing sedimentary and documentary data of levee overtops and breaches. Our result reveals that flood events in the Yellow River basin became almost an order of magnitude more frequent during the last millennium than the middle Holocene and 81 ± 6% of the increased flood frequency can be ascribed to anthropogenic disturbances. Our findings not only shed light on the long-term dynamics of flood hazards in this world’s most sediment-laden river but also inform policy of sustainable management of large rivers under anthropogenic stress elsewhere.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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