Increasing mitigation ambition to meet the Paris Agreement’s temperature goal avoids substantial heat-related mortality in U.S. cities

Author:

Lo Y. T. Eunice1,Mitchell Daniel M.12ORCID,Gasparrini Antonio34ORCID,Vicedo-Cabrera Ana M.3ORCID,Ebi Kristie L.5ORCID,Frumhoff Peter C.6ORCID,Millar Richard J.78ORCID,Roberts William1ORCID,Sera Francesco3,Sparrow Sarah9ORCID,Uhe Peter1ORCID,Williams Gethin1

Affiliation:

1. School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK.

2. Cabot Institute for the Environment, University of Bristol, Bristol BS5 9LT, UK.

3. Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London WC1E 7HT, UK.

4. Centre for Statistical Methodology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

5. Center for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, WA 98105, USA.

6. Union of Concerned Scientists, Cambridge, MA 02478, USA.

7. Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK.

8. Committee on Climate Change, London SW1W 8NR, UK.

9. Oxford e-Research Centre, Department of Engineering Science, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QG, UK.

Abstract

Increasing climate commitments to meet the Paris Agreement goal avoids large numbers of heat-related deaths in U.S. cities.

Funder

Medical Research Council

Natural Environment Research Council

Union of Concerned Scientists

Cabot Institute

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference63 articles.

1. Paris Agreement climate proposals need a boost to keep warming well below 2 °C;Rogelj J.;Nature,2016

2. UNFCCC Adoption of the Paris Agreement. Proposal by the President Conference of the Parties Twenty-first session Paris 30 November to 11 December 2015 (UNFCCC 2015).

3. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Summary for Policymakers in Global Warming of 1.5°C. An IPCC Special Report on the impacts of global warming of 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels and related global greenhouse gas emission pathways in the context of strengthening the global response to the threat of climate change sustainable development and efforts to eradicate poverty (IPCC 2018) pp. 1–33; http://report.ipcc.ch/sr15/pdf/sr15_spm_final.pdf.

4. T. Fransen E. Northrop “4 reasons for countries to enhance their NDCs by 2020 ” 07 November 2017; www.wri.org/blog/2017/11/4-reasons-countries-enhance-their-ndcs-2020.

5. Mortality risk attributable to high and low ambient temperature: A multicountry observational study;Gasparrini A.;Lancet,2015

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