Earth beyond six of nine planetary boundaries

Author:

Richardson Katherine1ORCID,Steffen Will2,Lucht Wolfgang34,Bendtsen Jørgen1ORCID,Cornell Sarah E.5ORCID,Donges Jonathan F.35ORCID,Drüke Markus3ORCID,Fetzer Ingo56ORCID,Bala Govindasamy7ORCID,von Bloh Werner3ORCID,Feulner Georg3ORCID,Fiedler Stephanie8ORCID,Gerten Dieter34,Gleeson Tom910ORCID,Hofmann Matthias3,Huiskamp Willem3ORCID,Kummu Matti11ORCID,Mohan Chinchu81213ORCID,Nogués-Bravo David1ORCID,Petri Stefan3ORCID,Porkka Miina11ORCID,Rahmstorf Stefan314ORCID,Schaphoff Sibyll3,Thonicke Kirsten3ORCID,Tobian Arne35ORCID,Virkki Vili11ORCID,Wang-Erlandsson Lan356ORCID,Weber Lisa8,Rockström Johan3515ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Globe Institute, Faculty of Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.

2. Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.

3. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, Germany.

4. Department of Geography, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany.

5. Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.

6. Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.

7. Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Karnataka – 560012, India.

8. GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel and Faculty for Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Kiel, Germany.

9. Department of Civil Engineering, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

10. School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, Canada.

11. Water and Development Research Group, Aalto University, Espoo, Finland.

12. Global Institute for Water Security, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, Saskatchewan, Canada.

13. Waterplan (YC S21), San Francisco, CA, USA.

14. Institute of Physics and Astronomy, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany.

15. Institute for Environmental Science and Geography, University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany.

Abstract

This planetary boundaries framework update finds that six of the nine boundaries are transgressed, suggesting that Earth is now well outside of the safe operating space for humanity. Ocean acidification is close to being breached, while aerosol loading regionally exceeds the boundary. Stratospheric ozone levels have slightly recovered. The transgression level has increased for all boundaries earlier identified as overstepped. As primary production drives Earth system biosphere functions, human appropriation of net primary production is proposed as a control variable for functional biosphere integrity. This boundary is also transgressed. Earth system modeling of different levels of the transgression of the climate and land system change boundaries illustrates that these anthropogenic impacts on Earth system must be considered in a systemic context.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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