Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change

Author:

Gudmundsson Lukas1ORCID,Boulange Julien2ORCID,Do Hong X.345ORCID,Gosling Simon N.6ORCID,Grillakis Manolis G.7ORCID,Koutroulis Aristeidis G.8ORCID,Leonard Michael3ORCID,Liu Junguo9ORCID,Müller Schmied Hannes1011ORCID,Papadimitriou Lamprini1213ORCID,Pokhrel Yadu14ORCID,Seneviratne Sonia I.1ORCID,Satoh Yusuke215ORCID,Thiery Wim116ORCID,Westra Seth3,Zhang Xuebin17ORCID,Zhao Fang1819

Affiliation:

1. Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland.

2. National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Tsukuba, Japan.

3. School of Civil, Environmental and Mining Engineering, University of Adelaide, Adelaide, SA, Australia.

4. Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Nong Lam University, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.

5. School for Environment and Sustainability, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.

6. School of Geography, University of Nottingham, Nottingham NG7 2RD, UK.

7. Institute for Mediterranean Studies, Foundation for Research and Technology Hellas, Rethymno 74100, Greece.

8. School of Environmental Engineering, Technical University of Crete, Chania, Greece.

9. School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech), Shenzhen 518055, China.

10. Institute of Physical Geography, Goethe University Frankfurt, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

11. Senckenberg Leibniz Biodiversity and Climate Research Centre (SBiK-F), Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

12. Cranfield Water Science Institute, Cranfield University, Cranfield, UK.

13. Mott MacDonald Ltd, Cambridge, UK.

14. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Michigan State University, East Lansing, MI, USA.

15. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria.

16. Department of Hydrology and Hydraulic Engineering, Vrije Universiteit Brussel, Brussels, Belgium.

17. Environment Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada.

18. Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai, China.

19. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Potsdam, Germany.

Abstract

Change of flow Anthropogenic influence on climate has changed temperatures, precipitation, atmospheric circulation, and many other related physical processes, but has it changed river flow as well? Gudmundsson et al. analyzed thousands of time series of river flows and hydrological extremes across the globe and compared them with model simulations of the terrestrial water cycle (see the Perspective by Hall and Perdigão). They found that the observed trends can only be explained if the effects of climate change are included. Their analysis shows that human influence on climate has affected the magnitude of low, mean, and high river flows on a global scale. Science , this issue p. 1159 ; see also p. 1096

Funder

National Science Foundation

University of Michigan

Horizon 2020 Framework Programme

H2020 Societal Challenges

National Natural Science Foundation of China

Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences

FP7 Ideas: European Research Council

Uniscientia Foundation

ETH Zürich Foundation

German Federal Ministry of Education and Research

Greek State Scholarship Foundation

MEXT/JSPS KAKENHI

Environmental Research and Technology Development Fund

Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science, and Technology

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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