The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in Europe and North America

Author:

Worobey Michael1ORCID,Pekar Jonathan23ORCID,Larsen Brendan B.1ORCID,Nelson Martha I.4ORCID,Hill Verity5,Joy Jeffrey B.678,Rambaut Andrew5ORCID,Suchard Marc A.91011ORCID,Wertheim Joel O.12ORCID,Lemey Philippe13ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.

2. Bioinformatics and Systems Biology Graduate Program, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.

3. Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.

4. Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.

5. Institute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, King’s Buildings, Edinburgh EH9 3FL, UK.

6. Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.

7. BC Centre for Excellence in HIV/AIDS, Vancouver, BC, Canada.

8. Bioinformatics Programme, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.

9. Department of Biomathematics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.

10. Department of Biostatistics, Fielding School of Public Health, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.

11. Department of Human Genetics, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.

12. Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92093, USA.

13. KU Leuven Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, Rega Institute, Laboratory of Clinical and Epidemiological Virology, Leuven, Belgium.

Abstract

A series of unfortunate events The history of how severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spread around the planet has been far from clear. Several narratives have been propagated by social media and, in some cases, national policies were forged in response. Now that many thousands of virus sequences are available, two studies analyzed some of the key early events in the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Bedford et al. found that the virus arrived in Washington state in late January or early February. The viral genome from the first case detected had mutations similar to those found in Chinese samples and rapidly spread and dominated subsequent undetected community transmission. The other viruses detected had origins in Europe. Worobey et al. found that early introductions into Germany and the west coast of the United States were extinguished by vigorous public health efforts, but these successes were largely unrecognized. Unfortunately, several major travel events occurred in February, including repatriations from China, with lax public health follow-up. Serial, independent introductions triggered the major outbreaks in the United States and Europe that still hold us in the grip of control measures. Science , this issue p. 571 , p. 564

Funder

National Institutes of Health

David and Lucile Packard Foundation

Canadian Institutes of Health Research Coronavirus Rapid Response Programme

Genome Canada for Bioinformatics and Computational Biology Programme 28PHY

Wellcome

H2020 European Research Council

Research Foundation -- Flanders

Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council

Multinational Influenza Seasonal Mortality Study

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference39 articles.

1. Trevor Bedford (@trvrb) “The team at the @seattleflustudy have sequenced the genome the #COVID19 community case reported yesterday from Snohomish County WA and have posted the sequence publicly to gisaid.org. There are some enormous implications here. 1/9” Twitter 29 February 2020 11:20 p.m.; https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1233970271318503426.

2. Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Washington state

3. Coast-to-Coast Spread of SARS-CoV-2 during the Early Epidemic in the United States

4. Introductions and early spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the New York City area

5. Genomic surveillance reveals multiple introductions of SARS-CoV-2 into Northern California

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