Increasing River Discharge to the Arctic Ocean

Author:

Peterson Bruce J.1,Holmes Robert M.1,McClelland James W.1,Vörösmarty Charles J.2,Lammers Richard B.2,Shiklomanov Alexander I.2,Shiklomanov Igor A.3,Rahmstorf Stefan4

Affiliation:

1. The Ecosystems Center, Marine Biological Laboratory, Woods Hole, MA 02543, USA.

2. Water Systems Analysis Group, Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH 03824, USA.

3. State Hydrological Institute, St. Petersburg, Russia 199053.

4. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Box 601203, 14412 Potsdam, Germany.

Abstract

Synthesis of river-monitoring data reveals that the average annual discharge of fresh water from the six largest Eurasian rivers to the Arctic Ocean increased by 7% from 1936 to 1999. The average annual rate of increase was 2.0 ± 0.7 cubic kilometers per year. Consequently, average annual discharge from the six rivers is now about 128 cubic kilometers per year greater than it was when routine measurements of discharge began. Discharge was correlated with changes in both the North Atlantic Oscillation and global mean surface air temperature. The observed large-scale change in freshwater flux has potentially important implications for ocean circulation and climate.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference35 articles.

1. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Third Assessment Report of the IPCC J. T. Houghton et al. Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press Cambridge 2001).

2. Arctic-CHAMP:A program to study arctic hydrology and its role in global change

3. Multiple-Century Response of a Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model to an Increase of Atmospheric Carbon Dioxide

4. Bifurcations of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation in response to changes in the hydrological cycle

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