Modern Global Climate Change

Author:

Karl Thomas R.12,Trenberth Kevin E.12

Affiliation:

1. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Climatic Data Center, Satellite and Information Services, 151 Patton Avenue, Asheville, NC, 28801–5001, USA.

2. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Post Office Box 3000, Boulder, CO 80307, USA.

Abstract

Modern climate change is dominated by human influences, which are now large enough to exceed the bounds of natural variability. The main source of global climate change is human-induced changes in atmospheric composition. These perturbations primarily result from emissions associated with energy use, but on local and regional scales, urbanization and land use changes are also important. Although there has been progress in monitoring and understanding climate change, there remain many scientific, technical, and institutional impediments to precisely planning for, adapting to, and mitigating the effects of climate change. There is still considerable uncertainty about the rates of change that can be expected, but it is clear that these changes will be increasingly manifested in important and tangible ways, such as changes in extremes of temperature and precipitation, decreases in seasonal and perennial snow and ice extent, and sea level rise. Anthropogenic climate change is now likely to continue for many centuries. We are venturing into the unknown with climate, and its associated impacts could be quite disruptive.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference39 articles.

1. Earth's Annual Global Mean Energy Budget

2. J. T. Houghton et al. Eds. Climate Change 2001: The Scientific Basis (Cambridge Univ. Press Cambridge 2001) (available at www.ipcc.ch/).

3. R. J. Cicerone, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.100, 10304 (2000).

4. Atmospheric CO 2 concentrations fromair samples and fromice cores are available at http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/sio-mlo.htm and http://cdiac.esd.ornl.gov/trends/co2/siple.htm respectively.

5. M. Sato et al., Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A.100, 6319 (2003).

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