Recent Warming Reverses Long-Term Arctic Cooling

Author:

Kaufman Darrell S.1,Schneider David P.2,McKay Nicholas P.3,Ammann Caspar M.2,Bradley Raymond S.4,Briffa Keith R.5,Miller Gifford H.6,Otto-Bliesner Bette L.2,Overpeck Jonathan T.3,Vinther Bo M.7,Abbott M.,Axford Y.,Bird B.,Birks H. J. B.,Bjune A. E.,Briner J.,Cook T.,Chipman M.,Francus P.,Gajewski K.,Geirsdóttir Á.,Hu F. S.,Kutchko B.,Lamoureux S.,Loso M.,MacDonald G.,Peros M.,Porinchu D.,Schiff C.,Seppä H.,Thomas E.,

Affiliation:

1. School of Earth Sciences and Environmental Sustainability, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA.

2. Climate and Global Dynamics Division, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO 80305, USA.

3. Department of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USA.

4. Department of Geosciences, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003, USA.

5. Climatic Research Unit, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ, UK.

6. Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO 80309, USA.

7. Niels Bohr Institute, University of Copenhagen, 2100 Copenhagen, Denmark.

Abstract

Climate Reversal The climate and environment of the Arctic have changed drastically over the short course of modern observation. Kaufman et al. (p. 1236 ) synthesized 2000 years of proxy data from lakes above 60° N latitude with complementary ice core and tree ring records, to create a paleoclimate reconstruction for the Arctic with a 10-year resolution. A gradual cooling trend at the start of the record had reversed by the beginning of the 20th century, when temperatures began to increase rapidly. The long-term cooling of the Arctic is consistent with a reduction in summer solar insolation caused by changes in Earth's orbit, while the rapid and large warming of the past century is consistent with the human-caused warming.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference28 articles.

1. Arctic Climate Impact Assessment (Cambridge Univ. Press Cambridge 2005).

2. Arctic Environmental Change of the Last Four Centuries

3. H. H. Lamb Climate History and the Modern World (Routledge London 1995).

4. Causes of Climate Change Over the Past 1000 Years

5. The Arctic Amplification Debate

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