The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak

Published:2020-04-24 Issue:6489 Volume:368 Page:395-400
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Chinazzi Matteo¹^ORCID,Davis Jessica T.¹,Ajelli Marco²,Gioannini Corrado³,Litvinova Maria³^ORCID,Merler Stefano²,Pastore y Piontti Ana¹,Mu Kunpeng¹,Rossi Luca³,Sun Kaiyuan⁴^ORCID,Viboud Cécile⁴^ORCID,Xiong Xinyue¹,Yu Hongjie⁵^ORCID,Halloran M. Elizabeth⁶⁷^ORCID,Longini Ira M.⁸^ORCID,Vespignani Alessandro¹³^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Laboratory for the Modeling of Biological and Socio-technical Systems, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, USA.

2. Bruno Kessler Foundation, Trento, Italy.

3. ISI Foundation, Turin, Italy.

4. Fogarty International Center, NIH, Bethesda, MD, USA.

5. School of Public Health, Fudan University, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China.

6. Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA, USA.

7. Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

8. Department of Biostatistics, College of Public Health and Health Professions, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.

Abstract

Outbreak to pandemic In response to global dispersion of severe acute respiratory syndrome–coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), quarantine measures have been implemented around the world. To understand how travel and quarantine influence the dynamics of the spread of this novel human virus, Chinazzi et al. applied a global metapopulation disease transmission model to epidemiological data from China. They concluded that the travel quarantine introduced in Wuhan on 23 January 2020 only delayed epidemic progression by 3 to 5 days within China, but international travel restrictions did help to slow spread elsewhere in the world until mid-February. Their results suggest that early detection, hand washing, self-isolation, and household quarantine will likely be more effective than travel restrictions at mitigating this pandemic. Science , this issue p. 395

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference108 articles.

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3. WHO “Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19): Situation Report – 43” (WHO 2020); www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200303-sitrep-43-covid-19.pdf?sfvrsn=2c21c09c_2.

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