Contributions of Stratospheric Water Vapor to Decadal Changes in the Rate of Global Warming

Author:

Solomon Susan1,Rosenlof Karen H.1,Portmann Robert W.1,Daniel John S.1,Davis Sean M.12,Sanford Todd J.12,Plattner Gian-Kasper3

Affiliation:

1. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Earth System Research Laboratory, Chemical Sciences Division, Boulder, CO, USA.

2. Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado, Boulder, CO, USA.

3. Climate and Environmental Physics, Physics Institute, University of Bern, Sidlerstrasse 5, 3012 Bern, Switzerland.

Abstract

Dropping a Notch Between 2000 and 2001, the concentration of water vapor in the stratosphere dropped by about 10%. Water vapor is an important greenhouse gas, so did the decrease affect climate and slow global warming? Solomon et al. (p. 1219 , published online 28 January) used a combination of data and models to show that lower stratospheric water vapor probably has contributed to the flattening of global average temperatures since 2000, by acting to slow the rate of warming by about 25%. Furthermore, the amount of water vapor in the stratosphere probably increased between 1980 and 2000, a period of more rapid warming, suggesting how important the concentration of stratospheric water vapor might be to climate.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference40 articles.

1. IPCC Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change S. Solomon et al. Eds. (Cambridge Univ. Press Cambridge 2007).

2. Is the climate warming or cooling?

3. Stratospheric water vapour changes as a possible contributor to observed stratospheric cooling

4. Radiative forcing due to trends in stratospheric water vapour

5. Climate and ozone response to increased stratospheric water vapor

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