Anticipating Critical Transitions-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Anticipating Critical Transitions

Published:2012-10-19 Issue:6105 Volume:338 Page:344-348
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Scheffer Marten¹²³,Carpenter Stephen R.⁴,Lenton Timothy M.⁵,Bascompte Jordi⁶,Brock William⁷,Dakos Vasilis¹⁶,van de Koppel Johan⁸⁹,van de Leemput Ingrid A.¹,Levin Simon A.¹⁰,van Nes Egbert H.¹,Pascual Mercedes¹¹¹²,Vandermeer John¹¹

Affiliation:

1. Department of Environmental Sciences, Wageningen University, Post Office Box 47, NL-6700 AA Wageningen, Netherlands.

2. South American Institute for Resilience and Sustainability Studies (SARAS), Maldonado, Uruguay.

3. To whom correspondence should be addressed.

4. Center for Limnology, University of Wisconsin, 680 North Park Street, Madison, WI 53706, USA.

5. College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Hatherly Laboratories, Prince of Wales Road, Exeter EX4 4PS, UK.

6. Integrative Ecology Group, Estación Biológica de Doñana, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, E-41092 Sevilla, Spain.

7. Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin, 1180 Observatory Drive, Madison, WI 53706, USA.

8. Spatial Ecology Department, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research (NIOZ), Post Office Box 140, 4400AC, Yerseke, Netherlands.

9. Community and Conservation Ecology Group, Centre for Ecological and Evolutionary Studies (CEES), University of Groningen, Post Office Box 11103, 9700 CC Groningen, Netherlands.

10. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544–1003, USA.

11. University of Michigan and Howard Hughes Medical Institute, 2045 Kraus Natural Science Building, 830 North University, Ann Arbor, MI 48109–1048, USA.

12. Santa Fe Institute, 1399 Hyde Park Road, Santa Fe, NM 87501, USA.

Abstract

All Change Research on early warning signals for critical transitions in complex systems such as ecosystems, climate, and global finance systems recently has been gathering pace. At the same time, studies on complex networks are starting to reveal which architecture may cause systems to be vulnerable to systemic collapse. Scheffer et al. (p. 344 ) review how previously isolated lines of work can be connected, conclude that many critical transitions (such as escape from the poverty trap) can have positive outcomes, and highlight how the new approaches to sensing fragility can help to detect both risks and opportunities for desired change.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference68 articles.

1. Approaching a state shift in Earth’s biosphere

2. Regime Shifts, Resilience, and Biodiversity in Ecosystem Management

3. M. Scheffer Critical Transitions in Nature and Society (Princeton Univ. Press Princeton and Oxford 2009).

4. A mathematical framework for critical transitions: Bifurcations, fast–slow systems and stochastic dynamics

5. Y. A. Kuznetsov Elements of Applied Bifurcation Theory (Springer New York 1995).

Cited by 1517 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献订阅此论文施引文献，注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献，订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Collapse process prediction of mutualistic dynamical networks with k-core and dimension reduction method;Chaos, Solitons & Fractals;2024-03

2. Anticipating regime shifts by mixing early warning signals from different nodes;Nature Communications;2024-02-05

3. Dynamical Systems Research (DSR) in Psychotherapy: A Comprehensive Review of Empirical Results and Their Clinical Implications;Systems;2024-02-05

4. Climate and community in Central Mesa Verde;Journal of Quaternary Science;2024-02-02

5. Wheat cultivar replacement drives soil microbiome and microbial cooccurrence patterns;Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment;2024-02