Tapping into the Wisdom of the Crowd—with Confidence-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Tapping into the Wisdom of the Crowd—with Confidence

Published:2012-04-20 Issue:6079 Volume:336 Page:303-304
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Hertwig Ralph¹

Affiliation:

1. Department of Psychology, University of Basel, Missionsstrasse 60-64, CH-4055 Basel, Switzerland, and Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Lentzealle 94, 14195 Berlin, Germany.

Abstract

The subjective confidence of individuals in groups can be a valid predictor of accuracy in decision-making tasks.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference16 articles.

1. LeBon G., The Crowd (Transaction Publishers, New Brunswick, NJ, 1895/1995).

2. Janis I. L., Groupthink: Psychological Studies of Policy Decisions and Fiascoes (Houghton Mifflin, Boston, MA, ed. 2, 1972).

3. Osborn A. F., Applied Imagination (Scribner, New York, 1957).

4. Vox Populi

5. Surowiecki J., The Wisdom of Crowds (Doubleday, New York, 2004).

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