Epidemic Dynamics at the Human-Animal Interface

Author:

Lloyd-Smith James O.12,George Dylan23,Pepin Kim M.4,Pitzer Virginia E.24,Pulliam Juliet R. C.2,Dobson Andrew P.5,Hudson Peter J.24,Grenfell Bryan T.245

Affiliation:

1. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, University of California at Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.

2. Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA.

3. Department of Biology, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO 80523, USA.

4. Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA 16802, USA.

5. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, and Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA

Abstract

Zeroing in on Zoonoses Influenza, plague, and Lyme disease are classic examples of zoonoses—diseases that circulate in livestock and wildlife, as well as in humans. When a pathogen transfers among multiple hosts, the dynamics of circulation, transmission, and outbreak are complex. Lloyd-Smith et al. (p. 1362 ) review the use of analytical mathematical tools, particularly modeling, in the development of control policies and research agendas. Significant gaps are highlighted in analytical efforts during spillover transmission from animals into humans. Moreover, the tendency has been to focus on pathogens with simpler life cycles and of immediate global urgency, such as influenza, whereas insect-transmitted pathogens with complex, multihost life cycles are less well understood.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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