Climate-driven risks to the climate mitigation potential of forests

Author:

Anderegg William R. L.1ORCID,Trugman Anna T.2ORCID,Badgley Grayson1,Anderson Christa M.3ORCID,Bartuska Ann4ORCID,Ciais Philippe5ORCID,Cullenward Danny6ORCID,Field Christopher B.7ORCID,Freeman Jeremy8ORCID,Goetz Scott J.9ORCID,Hicke Jeffrey A.10ORCID,Huntzinger Deborah11ORCID,Jackson Robert B.712ORCID,Nickerson John13,Pacala Stephen14ORCID,Randerson James T.15ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Biological Sciences, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84113, USA.

2. Department of Geography, University of California, Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA 93106, USA.

3. World Wildlife Fund, Washington, DC 20037, USA.

4. Resources for the Future, Washington, DC 20036, USA.

5. Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace CNRS CEA UVSQ Gif sur Yvette, 91191, France.

6. Stanford Law School, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

7. Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

8. CarbonPlan, San Francisco, CA 94110, USA.

9. School of Informatics and Computing, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA.

10. Department of Geography, University of Idaho, Moscow, ID 83844, USA.

11. School of Earth and Sustainability, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, USA.

12. Department of Earth System Science and Precourt Institute, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305, USA.

13. Climate Action Reserve, Los Angeles, CA 90017, USA.

14. Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540, USA.

15. Department of Earth System Science, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA 92697, USA.

Abstract

Risks to mitigation potential of forests Much recent attention has focused on the potential of trees and forests to mitigate ongoing climate change by acting as sinks for carbon. Anderegg et al. review the growing evidence that forests' climate mitigation potential is increasingly at risk from a range of adversities that limit forest growth and health. These include physical factors such as drought and fire and biotic factors, including the depredations of insect herbivores and fungal pathogens. Full assessment and quantification of these risks, which themselves are influenced by climate, is key to achieving science-based policy outcomes for effective land and forest management. Science , this issue p. eaaz7005

Funder

David and Lucile Packard Foundation

United States Department of Agriculture

US National Science Foundation

NASA Earth Ventures

NASA Applied Sciences

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

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