Affiliation:
1. The reviewer is at the Environmental Informatics and Control Program, Warnell School of Forestry and Natural Resources, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602-2152, USA.
Abstract
Useless Arithmetic
. Why Environmental Scientists Can't Predict the Future.
By Orrin H. Pilkey and Linda Pilkey-Jarvis
. Columbia University Press, New York, 2007. 246 pp. $29.50, £19. ISBN 9780231132121.
Critiquing a series of examples, the authors argue that many quantitative models only provide a false sense of security and unwarranted confidence in predictions.
Publisher
American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Reference4 articles.
1. van der Sluijs J. P., Futures34, 133 (2002).
2. Konikow L. J., Bredehoeft J., Adv. Water Resour.15, 75 (1992).
3. Crichton M., State of Fear (HarperCollins, New York, 2004).
4. Beck M. B., Ed. Environmental Foresight and Models: A Manifesto (Elsevier, Oxford, 2002).
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