Constraints on the adjustment of tidal marshes to accelerating sea level rise-Reference-Cited by-同舟云学术

Constraints on the adjustment of tidal marshes to accelerating sea level rise

Published:2022-07-29 Issue:6605 Volume:377 Page:523-527
ISSN:0036-8075
Container-title:Science
language:en
Short-container-title:Science

Author:

Saintilan Neil¹^ORCID,Kovalenko Katya E.²^ORCID,Guntenspergen Glenn³^ORCID,Rogers Kerrylee⁴^ORCID,Lynch James C.⁵,Cahoon Donald R.³^ORCID,Lovelock Catherine E.⁶^ORCID,Friess Daniel A.⁷,Ashe Erica⁸^ORCID,Krauss Ken W.⁹^ORCID,Cormier Nicole¹^ORCID,Spencer Tom¹⁰^ORCID,Adams Janine¹¹^ORCID,Raw Jacqueline¹¹^ORCID,Ibanez Carles¹²^ORCID,Scarton Francesco¹³^ORCID,Temmerman Stijn¹⁴^ORCID,Meire Patrick¹⁵^ORCID,Maris Tom¹⁵^ORCID,Thorne Karen¹⁶^ORCID,Brazner John¹⁵,Chmura Gail L.¹⁷^ORCID,Bowron Tony¹⁸,Gamage Vishmie P.¹,Cressman Kimberly¹⁹,Endris Charlie²⁰^ORCID,Marconi Christina²¹^ORCID,Marcum Pamela²²^ORCID,St. Laurent Kari²³^ORCID,Reay William²⁴,Raposa Kenneth B.²⁵^ORCID,Garwood Jason A.²⁶^ORCID,Khan Nicole²⁷^ORCID

Affiliation:

1. School of Natural Sciences, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia.

2. Natural Resources Research Institute, University of Minnesota, Duluth, MN, USA.

3. US Geological Survey, Eastern Ecological Science Center, Beltsville, MD, USA.

4. School of Earth, Atmospheric and Life Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, NSW, Australia.

5. National Park Service, Washington, DC, USA.

6. School of Biological Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia.

7. Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore.

8. Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Rutgers University, Newark, NJ, USA.

9. US Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Lafayette, LA, USA.

10. Cambridge Coastal Research Unit, Department of Geography, Cambridge University, Cambridge, UK.

11. Institute for Coastal and Marine Research and Department of Botany, Nelson Mandela University, Gqeberha, South Africa.

12. Eurecat, Unit of Climate Change, Centre Tecnològic de Catalunya, Catalonia, Spain.

13. SELC Societa Cooperativa, Venice, Italy.

14. Ecosphere Group, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.

15. Nova Scotia Department of Natural Resources and Renewables, Nova Scotia, Canada.

16. US Geological Survey, Western Ecological Research Center, Davis, CA, USA.

17. Department of Geography, McGill University, Montreal, Canada.

18. Saint Mary’s University, Halifax, Canada.

19. Mississippi State University, Starkville, MS, USA.

20. Moss Landing Marine Labs, California State University, Moss Landing, CA, USA.

21. Marine Science Institute, University of Texas, Austin, TX, USA.

22. Guana Tolomato Matanzas National Estuarine Research Reserve, Ponte Vedra Beach, FL, USA.

23. Delaware Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Control, Dover, DE, USA.

24. Virginia Institute of Marine Science, Gloucester Point, VA, USA.

25. Narragansett Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve, Prudence Island, RI, USA.

26. Apalachicola National Estuarine Research Reserve, Eastpoint, FL, USA.

27. Department of Earth Sciences, Swire Institute of Marine Science, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.

Abstract

Much uncertainty exists about the vulnerability of valuable tidal marsh ecosystems to relative sea level rise. Previous assessments of resilience to sea level rise, to which marshes can adjust by sediment accretion and elevation gain, revealed contrasting results, depending on contemporary or Holocene geological data. By analyzing globally distributed contemporary data, we found that marsh sediment accretion increases in parity with sea level rise, seemingly confirming previously claimed marsh resilience. However, subsidence of the substrate shows a nonlinear increase with accretion. As a result, marsh elevation gain is constrained in relation to sea level rise, and deficits emerge that are consistent with Holocene observations of tidal marsh vulnerability.

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Subject

Multidisciplinary

Reference64 articles.

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