How reliable are personality judgments by political experts? The curious case of Donald Trump

Author:

Joly JeroenORCID,Hofmans JoeriORCID

Abstract

<p xmlns="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/JATS1">Recent studies have highlighted the importance of personality in electoral politics. With the rise of populist and atypical personalities across stable and established democracies, pundits, journalists and other political experts often rely on their assessments of politicians’ personalities to explain their behavior. Additionally, numerous citizens depend on their expertise and assessments to form their own opinion. Given that most political experts have never personally met these politicians, how reliable are their assessments of high-profile politicians’ personality? We address this question by analyzing inter-rater reliability of ratings of US President Trumps’ personality by seven Belgian political experts. Using the NEO-FFI, our analyses indicate low inter-rater agreement on most of the Big Five personality traits and the facets of Trumps’ personality. Therefore, the excessive use of analyses based on third party assessments and interpretations of politicians’ personality should be regarded with caution given their potential impact on the wider public.</p></span> </div> </div> <div id="ContentPlaceHolder1_divPublisher" class="publisher mt40"> <p class="font-bold font20">Publisher</p> <p class="color-gray2 mt10"> <span id="ContentPlaceHolder1_Labelpublisher">Leibniz Institute for Psychology (ZPID)</span> </p> </div> <div id="ContentPlaceHolder1_divSubject" class="subject mt40"> <p class="font-bold font20">Subject</p> <p id="ContentPlaceHolder1_divSubject2" class="color-gray2 mt10">General Medicine</p> </div> <div id="ContentPlaceHolder1_divLink" class="link mt40"> <p class="font-bold font20">Link</p> <p id="ContentPlaceHolder1_divLink2" class="link-item color-gray2 mt10"><a href="https://ps.psychopen.eu/index.php/ps/article/download/6715/6715.pdf" target="_blank">https://ps.psychopen.eu/index.php/ps/article/download/6715/6715.pdf</a></p> </div> <div id="ContentPlaceHolder1_divReference" class="reference mt40"> <p class="font-bold font20">Reference<span class="reference-num"><span id="ContentPlaceHolder1_Labelreferencescount">37</span> articles.</span></p> <div id="ContentPlaceHolder1_divReference2" class="reference-item color-gray2 mt10"><p>1. <a href="/WebPortal/ArticleView?wd=DA5E6D8D7E154F088C6E25F6BD43F931" target="_blank">Selling Ourselves Short? How Abbreviated Measures of Personality Change the Way We Think about Personality and Politics</a></p><p>2. <a href="/WebPortal/ArticleView?wd=FA07B4B65EA61D19C137CA5DBF360A95BDD7945FCC53850850BC184AFAE1524D" target="_blank">Trait Associations for Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in News Media</a></p><p>3. <a href="/WebPortal/ArticleView?wd=1C86D39C8DE1C47FF4FE74BE2D21AA154C706B13A9E3A54E3903A4FDF631D526" target="_blank">The Personalization of Modern Politics</a></p><p>4. <a href="/WebPortal/ArticleView?wd=3860211E45E775906993D8ABE82CDFA74E30D9A4C51ECC66CB3AB56539B73D98" target="_blank">Personalities of politicians and voters: Unique and synergistic relationships.</a></p><p>5. <a href="/WebPortal/ArticleView?wd=577FFBC7AA1FE84BF8D3ACB5D9EA1D3DE3231616AC47F25ED69873C940781925564255CE3EC882A2" target="_blank">Personality Foundations of Ideological Divide: A Comparison of Women Members of Parliament and Women Voters in Italy</a></p></div> </div> </div> </div> <!----------------------------------到这结束----------------------------------------> <!--main end--> </div> <input type="hidden" name="ctl00$ContentPlaceHolder1$HiddenField1" id="ContentPlaceHolder1_HiddenField1" value="366E14D017F290D85C9A40D92046D51B" /> </td> </tr> </table> </td> </tr> <tr> <td> <!--foot start--> <div class="box100 foot "> <div class="box1200 mau clearfix"> <div class="pt20 pb20 font24">同舟云学术</div> <div class="fl box50"> <div class="box100 clearfix"> <p class="foot-tip fl mr15 fun-btn"><span>1.学者识别</span>学者识别</p> <p class="foot-tip fl mr15 fun-btn"><span>2.学术分析</span>学术分析</p> <p class="foot-tip fl mr15 fun-btn"><span>3.人才评估</span>人才评估</p> </div> <p class="font12 pr40 pt20 pb20 color-gray">"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811<span style="font-size:0px;color:white">{复制后删除}</span>0370</p> <p class="color-gray"><b><a href="/">www.globalauthorid.com</a></b></p> </div> <div class="fr qerbox "> <p class="color-blue text-center pt20 pb10">TOP</p> <a href="#top" class="btn-top mau"><img src="/images/top.png" alt=""></a> </div> <div class="fr qerbox mr15"><img src="/images/code_web.png" alt=""></div> </div> <p class="pt20 pb20 text-center">Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司<br> <a href="http://www.beian.gov.cn/portal/registerSystemInfo?recordcode=11010802033243" target="_blank">京公网安备11010802033243号</a>  <a href="https://beian.miit.gov.cn/#/Integrated/index" target="_blank">京ICP备18003416号-3</a></p> </div> <!--foot end--> </td> </tr> </table> </form> </body> </html>