EVALUATION OF THE POTENTIAL TO INCREASE RETURN ON WORK URBAN PASSENGER TRANSPORT DAILY PASSENGER VOLUME FORECAST

Abstract

The size of passenger traffic is one of the fundamental values in the organization of urban passenger traffic in regular traffic. It determines the number of passenger vehicles (PTS) on the route, their capacity, traffic intervals. At the same time, the volume of passenger traffic is not constant and can change daily depending on the day of the week, month of the year and other factors. At the same time, the number of vehicles operating on the route, their capacity and intervals of movement, as a rule, change only by the type of day of the week (weekday/weekend) and by season (summer/ winter schedule). In such conditions, there is often an excess of carrying capacity compared to with the available capacity of passenger traffic, which leads to an unjustified increase in the cost of urban public passenger transport (OPPT). Therefore, the creation of conditions under which the transportation capacity of the PTS will be as close as possible to the size of the passenger traffic will increase the payback of the work of the GOPT. The purpose of the publication is to establish factors that significantly affect the amount of daily passenger traffic and assess the feasibility of daily adjustment of the transportation capacity of the TCP to the forecast value of passenger traffic, taking into account such factors.