Assessing the impact of one million COVID-19 Deaths in America – Economic and Life Expectancy Losses

Author:

Silva Sachin1,Goosby Eric2,Reid Michael3

Affiliation:

1. Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health - Harvard University

2. University of California, San Francisco

3. UCSF

Abstract

Abstract Between February 2020 and May 2022, one million Americans have died of COVID-19. To determine the contribution of those deaths to all-cause mortality in terms of life expectancy reductions and the resulting economic welfare losses, we calculated their combined impact on national income growth and the added value of lives lost. We estimated that US life expectancy at birth dropped by 3.08 years due to the million COVID-19 deaths. Economic welfare losses estimated in terms of national income growth supplemented by the value of lives lost, was in the order of US$3.57 trillion. US$2.20 trillion of these losses were in in the non-Hispanic White population (56.50%), US$698.24 billion (19.54%) in the Hispanic population, and US$579.93 billion (16.23%) in the non-Hispanic Black population. The scale of life expectancy and welfare losses underscores the pressing need to invest in health in the US to prevent further economic shocks from future pandemic threats.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

Reference19 articles.

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2. Global health 2035: a world converging within a generation;Jamison DT;The Lancet,2013

3. United States Life Tables, 2019;Arias E;Natl Vital Stat Rep,2022

4. U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Appendix D: Updating Value per Statistical Life (VSL) Estimates for Inflation and Changes in Real Income. ASPE https://aspe.hhs.gov/reports/updating-vsl-estimates.

5. Adjusting the Value of a Statistical Life for Age and Cohort Effects;Aldy JE;The Review of Economics and Statistics,2008

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