Mapping of Carbon Dioxide Emissions at Provincial Scale: A Case Study of Guizhou Province in Western China

Abstract

Abstract Accurate spatial distribution of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is essential information needed to peaking emissions and achieving carbon neutral in China. The aim of this study was to map CO2 emissions with high spatial resolution at provincial scale and then explore the scale effect on mapping results. As an example, the spatiotemporal pattern and factors influencing CO2 emissions were examined in Guizhou Province in Western China. With the proposed method, a reasonable spatial distribution of CO2 emissions with high spatial resolution was obtained, which had accurate information on spatial details. The optimal resolution of CO2 emissions at the provincial scale under high spatial resolution was approximately 90 m and 1,260 m. Emissions of CO2 were spatially heterogeneous in Guizhou, with high emissions in centers of big cities that gradually spread and decreased from city centers. From 2009 to 2019, the spatial distribution of CO2 emissions developed from agglomeration to dispersion. Areas of high carbon emissions decreased, those of medium carbon emissions increased, and many areas changed from no emissions to carbon emissions. Industrial land had the highest emissions, followed by commercial and transportation lands. Emissions from rural residential land in Guizhou were much higher than those from urban residential land. Over 10 years, changes occurred in the relation between interregional economic level of Guizhou and CO2 emissions, with the relation changing from linear into an inverted U-shaped relation. The effect of industrial structure on CO2 emissions decreased, and the linear increase between CO2 emissions and the urban scale became more evident. The results of this study will contribute to accurate monitoring and management of carbon emissions in Guizhou, as well as provide support to formulate policies related to controls on carbon emissions in different regions.