Decline in daily maximum wind speed over the Tibetan Plateau during 1973-2020: An examination of likely causes

Author:

MA Yaoyao1,Shi Peijun1ORCID,Azorin-Molina Cesar2,Minola Lorenzo2,Guijarro Jose A.3,Ma Heng4,Wang Yiwen1,Zhang Gangfeng1

Affiliation:

1. Beijing Normal University

2. Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificación: Centro de Investigaciones sobre Desertificacion

3. Spanish State Meteorological Agency: Agencia Estatal de Meteorologia

4. Ministry of Emergency Management of the People's Republic of China

Abstract

Abstract

Strong winds have evident impacts on the environment and the society. It can affect the dispersion of air pollutants, land erosion, damage buildings, representing a severe hazard to people and properties. However, the changes and variabilities of extreme winds are still largely unknown, especially in global high-elevation regions, e.g., the Tibetan Plateau. This study analyses for the first-time changes in extreme wind speed over the Tibetan Plateau using homogenized near-surface daily maximum wind speed observations for 1973–2020. Results show that the daily maximum wind speed has significantly decreased in most stations during 1973–2020, with the largest decline in magnitude observed in spring. The frequency of daily maximum wind speed exceeding the 95% percentile shows a similar slowdown pattern. The detected decline is linked to large-scale atmospheric circulation, particular to changes in the patterns of westerly and monsoon, which explain 35%~57% of daily maximum wind speed anomaly variations. Furthermore, this study reveals that changes in (a) geostrophic wind, (b) vertical wind shear, and (c) Tibetan Plateau low vortex also contributes to the observed decreasing trends of daily maximum wind speed.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

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