Enabling conservation Theories of Change

Author:

Buelow Christina1ORCID,Connolly Rod1ORCID,Dunic Jillian2,Griffiths Laura1,Holgate Briana1,Lee Shing Yip3,Mackey Brendan1ORCID,Maxwell Paul4,Pearson Ryan1,Rajkaran Anusha5,Sievers Michael1ORCID,Sousa Ana6ORCID,Tulloch Vivitskaia7,Turschwell Mischa1,Villarreal-Rosas Jaramar1,Brown Christopher1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Griffith University

2. Simon Fraser University

3. Chinese University of Hong Kong

4. Alluvium Consulting

5. University of the Western Cape

6. University of Aveiro

7. University of British Colombia

Abstract

Abstract Global Theories of Change (ToCs), such as the post-2020 Global Biodiversity Framework (GBF), provide broad, overarching guidance for achieving conservation goals. However, broad guidance cannot inform how conservation actions will lead to desired outcomes. We provide a framework for translating a global-scale ToC into focussed, ecosystem-specific ToCs that consider feasibility of actions, as determined by national socioeconomic and political context (i.e., enabling conditions). We demonstrate the framework using coastal wetland ecosystems as a case study. We identified six distinct multinational profiles of enabling conditions (‘enabling profiles’) for coastal wetland conservation. For countries belonging to enabling profiles with high internal capacity to enable conservation, we described plausible ToCs that involved strengthening policy and regulation. Alternatively, for enabling profiles with low internal enabling capacity, plausible ToCs typically required formalising community-led conservation. Our ‘enabling profile’ framework could be applied to other ecosystems to help operationalise the post-2020 GBF.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

Reference35 articles.

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2. CBD. First draft of the post-2020 global-biodiversity framework. https://www.cbd.int/doc/c/914a/eca3/24ad42235033f0 (2021).

3. Four steps for the Earth: mainstreaming the post-2020 global biodiversity framework;Milner-Gulland EJ;One Earth,2021

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