Heat exposure and perinatal mortality: A time-stratified, case-crossover study from 16 hospitals in Benin, Malawi, Tanzania and Uganda

Author:

Hanson Claudia1ORCID,de Bont Jeroen1,Annerstedt Kristi Sidney1,Alsina Maria1,Nobile Federica2,Roos Nathalie3,Waiswa Peter4,Dossou Jean-Paul5,Chipeta Effie6,Benova Lenka7,Kidanto Hussein8,Pembe Andrea9ORCID,Part Cherie10ORCID,Stafoggia Massimo11,Filippi Veronique10,Ljungman Petter3

Affiliation:

1. Karolinska Institute

2. Lazio Region Health Service

3. Karolinska Institutet

4. Makerere University, College of Health Sciences, School of Public Health

5. CERRHUD

6. Kamuzu University of Health Scoience

7. Institute of Tropical Medicine

8. Aga Khan University

9. Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Science

10. London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine

11. Lazio Regional Health Service

Abstract

Abstract Extreme heat events affect both pregnant women and their infants. We applied a time-stratified case-crossover design including 124,819 singleton births in a prospective observational study in 16 hospitals in Benin, Malawi, Tanzania, and Uganda to investigate the association between extreme heat and timing of perinatal death. We observed weak associations between heat exposure and perinatal mortality with an odds ratio of 1.22 (95%CI 0.85-1.73) for stillbirths; 1.10 (95%CI 0.51-2.34) for antepartum and 1.54 (95%CI 0.63-3.73) for intrapartum stillbirths; and 1.17 (95%CI 0.84-2.61) for perinatal deaths with an increase from 75th to 99th percentile in mean temperature one week (lag 0-6 days) before childbirth. The cumulative exposure-response curve suggested the steepest slope for heat was in intrapartum stillbirths, and stronger associations during the hottest seasons. We conclude that higher temperatures may have short-term effects on mortality risks, particularly for intrapartum stillbirths, raising the importance of improved intrapartum care.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

Reference47 articles.

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3. World Health Organization, UNICEF. Every Newborn. An Action Plan To End Preventable Deaths. 2014 (accessed 2 Jan 2023).

4. IPCC. IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. 2022. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/ (accessed 12 Oct 2022).

5. World Meteorological Organization. Africa suffers disproportionately from climate change. 2023. https://public-old.wmo.int/en/media/press-release/africa-suffers-disproportionately-from-climate-change (accessed 26 Nov 2023).

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