A deep learning-based conditional system health index method to reduce the uncertainty of remaining useful life prediction

Author:

Jang Jaeyeon1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. The Catholic University of Korea

Abstract

AbstractMany recent data-driven studies have used sensor profile data for prognostics and health management (PHM). However, existing data-driven PHM techniques are vulnerable to three types of uncertainty: sensor noise inherent to the sensor profile data, uncertainty regarding the current health status diagnosis caused by monitoring a single health index (HI), and uncertainty in predicting the remaining useful life (RUL), which is affected by unpredictable changes in system operating conditions and the future external environment. This study proposes a deep conditional health index extraction network (DCHIEN) for PHM to effectively manage these three types of uncertainty. DCHIEN is a model that combines a stacked denoising autoencoder that extracts high-level features robust to sensor noise with a feed-forward neural network that produces an HI based on user-defined monitoring conditions. This approach supports system health monitoring using the conditional HI, as well as prognostics using RUL interval predictions. Extensive experiments were conducted using NASA's turbofan engine degradation dataset. The results show that the proposed method achieves a superior RUL prediction performance compared to state-of-the-art methods and that uncertainties can be effectively managed.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

Reference490 articles.

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5. (2) : 321--357 https://doi.org/10.1613/jair.953, https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1002/eap.2043 https://www.jair.org/index.php/jair/article/view/10302, 31758609, jun, air temperature,forest ecological experiment,forest management,photosynthetically active radiation (PAR),relative humidity,soil moisture,soil temperature,temperate deciduous forests,vapor pressure deficit (VPD), 1076-9757, :C\:/Users/jjy00/AppData/Local/Mendeley Ltd./Mendeley Desktop/Downloaded/Chawla et al. - 2002 - SMOTE Synthetic minority over-sampling technique.pdf:pdf, An approach to the construction of classifiers from imbalanced datasets is described. A dataset is imbalanced if the classification categories are not approximately equally represented. Often real-world data sets are predominately composed of ''normal'' examples with only a small percentage of ''abnormal'' or ''interesting'' examples. It is also the case that the cost of misclassifying an abnormal (interesting) example as a normal example is often much higher than the cost of the reverse error. Under-sampling of the majority (normal) class has been proposed as a good means of increasing the sensitivity of a classifier to the minority class. This paper shows that a combination of our method of over-sampling the minority (abnormal) class and under-sampling the majority (normal) class can achieve better classifier performance (in ROC space) than only under-sampling the majority class. This paper also shows that a combination of our method of over-sampling the minority class and under-sampling the majority class can achieve better classifier performance (in ROC space) than varying the loss ratios in Ripper or class priors in Naive Bayes. Our method of over-sampling the minority class involves creating synthetic minority class examples. Experiments are performed using C4.5, Ripper and a Naive Bayes classifier. The method is evaluated using the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (AUC) and the ROC convex hull strategy.

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