Contrast-enhanced CT-based Radiomics for the Differentiation of Anaplastic or Poorly Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma from Differentiated Thyroid Carcinoma: A Pilot Study

Abstract

Abstract Differential diagnosis of anaplastic thyroid carcinoma/poorly differentiated thyroid carcinoma (ATC/PDTC) from differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC) is crucial in patients with large thyroid malignancies. This study creates a predictive model using radiomics feature analysis to differentiate ATC/PDTC from DTC. We compared the clinicoradiological characteristics and radiomics features extracted from a volume of interest on contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) between the groups. Estimations of variable importance and variable selection were performed via modeling using the random forest quantile classifier. The diagnostic performance of the model with radiomics features alone had the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve value of 0.883. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy were 81.7%, 93.3%, 97.7%, 64.5%, and 84.6%, respectively, for the differential diagnosis of ATC/PDTC and DTC. The model with both radiomics and clinicoradiological information showed the AUROC of 0.908, with sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy of 82.9%, 97.6%, 99.2%, 67.1%, and 86.5% respectively. Distant metastasis, moment, shape, age, and gray-level size zone matrix features were the most useful factors for differential diagnosis. Therefore, we concluded that a radiomics approach based on contrast-enhanced CT features can potentially differentiate ATC/PDTC from DTC in patients with large thyroid malignancies.