Modulation of Cosmic Ray with Solar activities During Solar Cycles 19-24 to forecast Solar Cycle 25

Abstract

Abstract As of currently, a spotless event solar activity precursor technique is being employed to estimate the intensity and onset periods of future 11-year cycles. In the past, it was utilised to make predictions concerning the maximum amplitudes and rising times of cycles ranging from 19 to 24. The reassuring outcomes that have been obtained from all of these iterations can be summarised as follows: In the past, an updated variation of the proposed method was utilised in order to make a prediction concerning the cycle 24's defining parameters. The observed values of spotless events are utilised in the validation of the preliminary forecasts for cycle 24's characteristics. Additionally, the maximum amplitude and ascension period of the 25th solar cycle can be predicted with the assistance of this method. We have made projections on the forthcoming cycle 25 by utilising the stacking LSTM forecasting model. According to the findings of our study, the model that we devised is able to accurately predict both long-term dependencies and trends in the data. The maximum strength of solar cycle 25 will be 47 percent higher than that of cycle 24 thanks to the sunspot amplitude of 171.9 3.4.