Mechanical ventilation and length of stay prediction using heart rate variability at ICU admission in Covid-19 patients in sitting position: a prospective study

Author:

FARIÑA-GONZÁLEZ Tomás Francisco1,MARTINEZ-SAGASTI Fernando2,HERNANDO María Elena3,OROPESA Ignacio3,NUÑEZ-REIZ Antonio2,GONZÁLEZ-GALLEGO Miguel Ángel1,LATORRE Julieta4,QUINTANA-DIAZ Manuel5

Affiliation:

1. Hospital Universitario Infanta Sofía

2. Hospital Universitario Clínico San Carlos

3. Universidad Politécnica de Madrid

4. Hospital Universitario La Paz

5. Autonomous University of Madrid

Abstract

Abstract

Background heart rate variability (HRV) is an important part of cardiovascular response to stress. Literature about the utility of HRV to predict intubation and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) need in Covid-19 patients is scarce. We analysed if HRV metrics could be used to identify, in the first 24 hours from admission in the intensive care unit (ICU), those patients who were going to need IMV during their stay. Methods we conducted a prospective single-centre observational study. Adult patients admitted in the ICU with respiratory failure due to RT-PCR-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 but not under IMV were included. Electrocardiogram (EKG) was recorded at least for 15 minutes at 500 Hz during a stable sitting condition, in the morning time. Power spectrum was obtained using wavelets. We also analysed non-linear HRV dynamics. Results 27 patients were included. We found no differences in HRV metrics between groups. However, in the linear regression model for ICU length-of-stay (ICU LOS), we found that DFA⍺2 (OR -64.16; 95% CI: -3.497–0.832, P = 0.013), Fi02 (OR 0.37; 95% CI: 0.032–0.71, P = 0.033) and temperature (OR 16.02; 95% CI: 3.537–28.5, P = 0.014) were associated with longer ICU LOS. When performing bivariate correlation in patients lately intubated (Spearman`s test, n = 15), only DFA⍺2 was correlated (r -5.11, p = 0.05) with ICU LOS. Conclusion We found that HRV on ICU admission did not discriminate patients that might require IMV. DFA⍺2 was the HRV variable with the strongest association with ICU LOS along with other easy-to-collect clinical variables. These results could be helpful for newer prognostication tools.

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC

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