The Effect of Robotics on Bilateral Trade Flows in Global Value Chains

Author:

QI PENGBO1,Chen Yifeng(Philip)1,Velu Chander1

Affiliation:

1. University of Cambridge

Abstract

Abstract We develop a framework to investigate the relationship between robotics and bilateral trade flows at the country level between 2000 and 2014. We find that the adoption of industrial robots improves value-added bilateral trade. However, robot adoption is also negatively associated with the growth rate of value-added bilateral trade, suggesting diminishing returns to the use of robots. This may be attributable to a lack of business model innovation compatible with robotization, a lack of relevant skills among the labor force and an uneven distribution of the trade benefit among robot-using countries. By establishing an empirical link between the use of an emerging technology, robotics, and its impact on value-added bilateral trade, we draw a number of implications for policymakers to help improve their decisions with regards to the wider context of automation in global value chains.JEL classification: F40, F62, O33, O47

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

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