Pulmonary Fibrosis Followed by Severe Pneumonia in Patients with COVID- 19 infection: A Prospective Multicentre Study

Abstract

Abstract Backgrounds : The management of lung complications, especially fibrosis, after coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pneumonia, is an important issue in the COVID-19 post-pandemic era. We aimed to investigate risk factors for pulmonary fibrosis development in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia. Methods Clinical and radiologic data were prospectively collected from 64 patients who required mechanical ventilation due to COVID-19 pneumonia and were enrolled from eight hospitals in South Korea. Fibrotic changes on chest computed tomography (CT) was evaluated by visual assessment, and extent of fibrosis (mixed disease score) was measured using automatic quantification system. Results Sixty-four patients were enrolled, and their mean age was 58.2 years (64.1% were males). On chest CT (median interval: 60 days [interquartile range, IQR; 41–78 days] from enrolment), 35 (54.7%) patients showed ≥ 3 fibrotic lesions. The most frequent fibrotic change was traction bronchiectasis (47 patients, 73.4%). Median extent of fibrosis measured by automatic quantification was 10.6% (IQR, 3.8–40.7%). In a multivariable Cox proportional hazard model, which included nine variables with a p-value of < 0.10 in an unadjusted analysis as well as age, sex, and body mass index, male sex (hazard ratio [HR], 3.01; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.27–7.11) and higher initial sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (HR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.02–1.37) were independently associated with pulmonary fibrosis (≥ 3 fibrotic lesions). Conclusion Our data suggests that male gender and higher SOFA score at intensive care unit admission were associated with pulmonary fibrosis in patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia requiring mechanical ventilation.