Affiliation:
1. Nanjing Innovative Data Technologies, Inc.
2. Nanjing University
3. Institute earthquake forecasting of China Earthquake Administration
4. Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics
5. Shenzhen MSU-BIT University
Abstract
Abstract
Earthquake prediction is a global challenge. Seismologists have established a large number of observation stations in active seismic areas that provide massive, continuous, and complete geomagnetic and geoacoustic data from different regions. Based on these data, we have developed a convolutional neural network earthquake forecasting model to achieve short-term earthquake prediction. After normalizing geomagnetic and geoacoustic observation data, we randomly divided the data into training and testing groups, inputted the training group into the convolutional neural network model for training, and used the resulting model to test testing group and calculate the accuracy. Our research shows that the model has approximately 81% accuracy(17.7% higher than 620 groups of researchers using same datasets). The model is suitable for integrating geomagnetic and geoacoustic data and has great potential for improving the accuracy of earthquake prediction in China, and all other regions if datasets are available.
Publisher
Research Square Platform LLC
Reference28 articles.
1. International progress in probing the earth’s lithosphere and deep interior: a review;Dong S;Acta Geol. Sin.,2010
2. Retrospect of earthquake forecast and prospect;Zhang G;Recent Developments in World Seismology,2005
3. EarthScope. Data. https://www.earthscope-program-2003-2018.org/research/data.html
4. The earthquake prediction status and related problems: a review;Wu Z;Geol. Bull. China,2013
5. C. Reverse time migration;Baysal E;Geophysics,1983