Abstract
Context: Stroke is a major public health issue globally. Therefore, ongoing research on the risk factors for ischemic stroke (IS) is essential for its prevention.
Objective: To assess the potential causal relationship between systolic blood pressure (SBP) and ischemic stroke (IS).
Design and Setting: A total of 810,865 SBP and 440,328 IS samples from publicly-available genome-wide association studies (2020 and 2018, respectively) were analyzed. A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was conducted to assess the causal relationships between SBP and the risk of IS. Inverse-variance weighting (IVW), and weighted median (WME), weighted mode (WM), and MR-Egger regression methods were also undertaken. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated. Heterogeneity and the presence of horizontal multicollinearity were tested using a Cochran’s Q test and MR-Egger intercept, respectively.
Main Outcome Measures: Correlation between SBP and IS was the main study outcome. Results: IVW showed a positive correlation between genetically-predicted SBP and IS (OR = 1.849, 95%CI = 1.628–2.099, P = 2.844×10-21). MR-Egger (OR = 2.192, 95%CI = 1.626–2.257, P = 2.610×10-7), WME (OR = 1.945, 95%CI = 1.676–2.257, P = 7.752×10-18), and WM methods (R = 2.246, 95%CI = 1.666–3.030, P = 4.008×10-8) supported the existence of a causal relationship between SBP and IS. MR-Egger intercept testing did not detect horizontal pleiotropy. The “leave-one-out” sensitivity analysis showed no bias in the results.
Conclusions:There is a positive causal relationship between genetically-predicted SBP and IS, suggesting that elevated SBP is a risk factor for IS.