Reversing the Negative Effects of Poor Agricultural Drainage Using Risks Management

Author:

Elnashar Walaa1,Elyamany Ahmed1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. Zagazig University Faculty of Engineering

Abstract

Abstract Agricultural drainage is essential to the success of irrigated agriculture because it prevents ponding, waterlogging, and salt. This Paper presents a systematic method for identifying, assessing, and mitigating the risks associated with poor agricultural drainage (PAD). Using Monte Carlo simulation within a risk management process, the cumulative impact of all conceivable PAD risks on agricultural productivity was examined. The minimum and maximum predicted values of loss in crop production as predicted by the Monte Carlo simulation model are 60.2% and 69.2%, respectively. According to the interpretation of these findings, crop production might be reduced to around two-thirds of its current level over a century. This necessitates prompt action to limit the impact of these hazards in the coming years. Key contributions of this work include identifying and categorizing the negative effects of PAD on the environment and crop production, analyzing these risks quantitatively and qualitatively, and developing the appropriate responses.

Publisher

Research Square Platform LLC

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