Affiliation:
1. Harvard Medical School
2. University of South Florida
3. Northeastern University
4. Spore Data, Inc
Abstract
Abstract
Background
Throughout the past decades, the United States healthcare system has seen increased efforts to promote resilience to external or internal stressors. However, measuring outcomes remains a challenge, mainly because most indices rely on markers that need to be gathered from different data sources. An alternative would be to use readily available large-scale data. The American Hospital Association (AHA) annual survey gathers over 1,000 data points from more than 6,000 hospitals. The RAND corporation provides information on the financial health and viability of hospitals and health care systems. Our study aimed to establish and psychometrically validate a new Hospital Resilience Index.
Methods
We took the two databases as primary data sources, and defined hospital closure as the main negative outcome. We performed descriptive statistics, and regression analysis of the databases, with he main outcome of hospital closure.
Results
Our findings show that a combination of eleven variables is strongly associated with the likelihood of hospital closure. These factors mirror smaller hospital size, lack of ancillary functions, staffing structure of the hospital, size of facilities, number of surgeries performed, Medicare discharges, operating expenses, and medical school affiliation as a teaching hospital. We further classified hospitals with a low HRI (< 25) or high HRI (> 25). In this setup, we found that both hospitals with a low HRI and hospitals that would subsequently close were characterized by smaller patient census, smaller numbers of surgeries, fewer beds, a smaller staff, and a lower operating margin.
Conclusions
Together, these factors would point to a higher resilience to external stressors in larger, more expanded hospitals and healthcare systems, offering a broad range of services, and having a higher operating margin. The higher tiers of the healthcare system therefore seem to have more resilience, but the recent Covid-19 pandemic exhibited how much all tiers in the system are needed to respond to extraordinary crises such as pandemics or large natural disasters. Future research should seek to determine whether tracking the HRI over time may be a tool to identify hospitals at risk of closure.
Publisher
Research Square Platform LLC