Forecasting Model for Air Taxi, Commercial Airline, and Automobile Demand in the United States

Author:

Baik Hojong1,Trani Antonio A.2,Hinze Nicolas2,Swingle Howard2,Ashiabor Senanu2,Seshadri Anand2

Affiliation:

1. Missouri University of Science and Technology, 211 Butler-Carlton Hall, Rolla, MO 65409.

2. Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 200 Patton Hall, Blacksburg, VA 24060.

Abstract

A nationwide model predicts the annual county-to-county person round-trips for air taxi, commercial airline, and automobile at 1-year intervals through 2030. The transportation systems analysis model (TSAM) uses the four-step transportation systems modeling process to calculate trip generation, trip distribution, and mode choice for each county origin-destination pair. Network assignment is formulated for commercial airline and air taxi demand. TSAM classifies trip rates by trip purpose, household income group, and type of metropolitan statistical area from which the round-trip started. A graphical user interface with geographic information systems capability is included in the model. Potential applications of the model are nationwide impact studies of transportation policies and technologies, such as those envisioned with the introduction of extensive air taxi service using very light jets, the next-generation air transportation system, and the introduction of new aerospace technologies.

Publisher

SAGE Publications

Subject

Mechanical Engineering,Civil and Structural Engineering

Reference16 articles.

1. Complete Economic and Demographic Data Source 2005. Woods and Poole Economics, Washington, D.C., 2005.

2. Logit Models for Forecasting Nationwide Intercity Travel Demand in the United States

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