Prediction of power generation and maintenance using AOC‐ResNet50 network

Author:

Chu Yueqiang1ORCID,Cao Wanpeng2,Xiao Cheng1,Song Yubin1

Affiliation:

1. Department of Automation North China Institute of Aerospace Engineering Langfang China

2. Electrical and Electronic Teaching Center China Suntien Green Energy Corp. Ltd. Huaian China

Abstract

AbstractWith the continuous expansion of the photovoltaic industry, the application of solar photovoltaic power generation systems is becoming increasingly widespread. Due to the obvious intermittency and volatility of photovoltaic power generation, integration of large‐scale photovoltaic power generation into the power grid can cause certain impacts on the security and stability of the grid. Photovoltaic power prediction is essential to solve this problem, as it can improve the quality of photovoltaic grid connection, optimize grid scheduling, and ensure the safe operation of the grid. In this article, the deep learning method is selected for photovoltaic power prediction. Based on the analysis of the OctConv (Octave Convolution) network structure, the AOctConv (Attention Octave Convolution) convolutional neural network structure is proposed, which is combined with the ResNet50 backbone network to obtain AOC‐ResNet50. It is then applied to the prediction of the generation of photovoltaic power. The prediction performance is compared with the ResNet50 network and the Oct‐ResNet50 network, and it is found that the AOC‐ResNet50 network has the best prediction performance, with an MAE of only 0.176888. Based on the exemplar work, a framework is proposed to illustrate this method. Its general application is discussed.

Funder

North China Institute of Aerospace Engineering

Publisher

Institution of Engineering and Technology (IET)

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