Age-specific incidence of first and second fractures of the hip

Abstract

We determined the age-specific incidence of a second fracture of the hip and compared it with that of a primary fracture in a study population drawn from 6331 patients admitted to Nottingham University Hospital with a primary fracture of the hip over a period of 8.5 years. The incidence of a second fracture was determined using survival analysis. The mean age-specific incidence rates of primary hip fracture were calculated using census data. The overall incidence of a second fracture was 2.7% at one year and 7.8% at 8.5 years. That of a primary fracture was 50 per 100 000 in women aged 55 to 64 years rising to 3760 in those aged 84 years and over. The incidence of a second fracture in women aged 55 to 64 years was 2344 per 100 000. Patients of this age had a relative risk of 45 (95% confidence interval 13 to 155) for further fracture when compared with the population at risk of a first fracture. The incidence of a second fracture in women aged > 84 years was 2451 per 100 000 (relative risk 0.7, 95% confidence interval 0.5 to 0.9). A similar trend was seen in men. Patients sustaining a primary fracture of the hip between the ages of 55 and 64 years have a much greater risk of further fracture than the normal population, whereas those over 84 years have a similar risk. These findings have important implications for the provision of fracture prevention services in primary and secondary care.