1. APOCALYPSE NO: Population Aging and The Future of Health Care Systems
2. S.T. Burner , D.R. Waldo, and D.R. McKusick, “National Health Expenditures Projections through 2030,”Health Care Financing Review(Fall 1992 ): 1 –30.
3. Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations: 1982-1994
4. Avalanche or Glacier?: Health Care and the Demographic Rhetoric
5. In general, the MEPS spending data are much lower than the NHA data, because the former exclude many categories of services includes in the NHA data, such as the services of nursing homes and other long-term care facilities. For a reconciliation of these differences, see T.M. Selden et al. “Reconciling Medical Expenditure Estimates from the MEPS and the NHA, 1996,”Health Care Financing Review(Fall 2001 ): 161 –177. Because these differences between MEPS and the NHA data are systematic and only growth rates are sought in the spending simulations reported here, the latter are likely to be meaningful and roughly comparable to studies based on NHA data.