Affiliation:
1. Department of Management Studies, SRM Institute of Science and Technology, Ghaziabad, India
2. Ch. Charan Singh University, Meerut, India
Abstract
The objective of this chapter is to find the impact of crude oil price fluctuations on the stock market return of China. Further, the study extended to find the magnitude and the level of exposure to stock market return from the exchange rate. The study used quarterly time series data from 2008 to 2022 to measure the exposure magnitude to the stock market return from variability in crude oil price, exchange rate, interest rate, and GDP. The study used the ARDL bound test and VDC analysis as methodology and checked for multiple breakpoints. The study findings suggested a long running cointegration among crude oil price, exchange rate, interest rate and stock market return. Results indicated that disequilibrium in the short run to stock market return would converge back itself. The investigation concluded that oil and exchange rates transmit shocks to the stock market return. But the oil exposure to the stock market return is the highest, whereas the GDP causes the least volatility.