Population Projections, Food Consumption, and Agricultural Production are Used to Optimize Agriculture Under Climatic Constraints

Abstract

Climate change is expected to have a significant impact on agricultural production both locally and globally. High temperatures and irregular precipitation projected by the IPCC could lead to a decline in agricultural production, which would require significant changes in agricultural practices. A concomitant factor to climate change will be the increase in population and its distribution and level of consumption, which also influences agricultural production strategies, the conversion of agricultural land, and the type of irrigation. Determining the impacts of these forcings on land use will depend on our understanding of past changes in the agricultural sector (cereal) and how future climate change will occur. It is proposed to develop an innovative methodology that will integrate agricultural production, socio-economic statistics, demographic trends, and patterns of agricultural land use caused by climate change and human development.