Research on Monitoring Method of Stock Market Systematic Crash Based on Market Transaction Data

Author:

Li Yan1,Li Zhan1

Affiliation:

1. Dongguan University of Technology, China

Abstract

Sharp rises and falls in stock prices have become increasingly frequent in recent years. Stock market crashes bring great risks to the stability of the securities markets. Using recurrence plot theory and a heuristic segmentation algorithm for detecting abrupt changes in nonlinear time series, this study investigates the problem of detecting abrupt endogenous structural changes before a stock market crash. Based on an analysis of crash events in 12 developed and 10 emerging countries and regions, the authors find the following: (1) The market laminar flow (LAM) value will fall greatly before a stock market crash; (2) the LAM sequence of the US stock market during the 2008 financial crisis presents a fractal-like self-similar structure, and blank bands appears in the recurrence plot, indicating a phase transition in the LAM sequence before the crash; and. (3) using a heuristic segmentation algorithm to detect abrupt changes in nonlinear time series, this study finds that before a crash, the endogenous structure of the market continuously experiences abnormal abrupt changes, and abnormal abrupt change time.

Publisher

IGI Global

Subject

Strategy and Management,Computer Science Applications,Human-Computer Interaction

Cited by 1 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3