An Approach to Improve Bayesian Inference in Assessment of Coast Evolution

Abstract

The chapter reports the state of the art in the modeling of coastal environments by the method of event bush. This method appears to be an efficient alternative to highly subjective conceptualizations used in the databases that provide data for probabilistic assessment of evolution of the coast. The event bushes themselves may be used for Bayesian computation, but there emerge complications that pose intriguing theoretical tasks. Still, their application requires deep conceptual rethinking of the field of knowledge including both the terminology and concepts traditionally accepted in it.