The Role of IMF-Turkey Relationship on Strategic Investment Decision

Abstract

The International Money Fund was established as an intermediary to overcome the 1929 World Economic Depression and economic destruction of World War II, balance payment problems, imbalance of international monetary system, and shrinking international trade. However, the role of the IMF has changed with the new developments in the world economy, and after 1980 with its applications called “structural adjustment program,” IMF has increased its effectiveness, and it has become an important authority on the crisis occurred with the globalization. In this chapter, the historical development of IMF and Turkey's relationship and its effects on the Turkish economy is discussed. The economic conditions led Turkey to apply to the IMF and all of the agreements made between IMF and Turkey, and as a result of those, the macroeconomic parameters of the Turkish economy are evaluated. The effects of the IMF stability program on the Turkish economy, applied by Turkey as a result of the agreements made with IMF, are analyzed with VAR econometrical model. The effects of IMF loans on balance of payments, current account deficits, economic growth, and inflation rates are analyzed. The macroeconomic parameters are compared with t test to find out if there is any meaningful difference on those parameters between the periods with agreements made with IMF and the periods without any agreements.