Estimation and Convergence Analysis of Traffic Structure Efficiency Based on an Undesirable Epsilon-Based Measure Model

Abstract

To improve transportation efficiency, this paper analyzes the factors of transportation structure from the two levels of transportation—input and system output. An epsilon-based measure model of non-expected output is introduced, and the environmental benefits of transportation are considered. This model is used to analyze the regional transportation efficiency of 30 provinces and cities in China. Tobit regression and geographically weighted regression are applied to analyze the causes and spatial variation of differences in the efficiency of the transportation structure, and corresponding structural adjustment strategies are proposed. The results show that the regression coefficients of the share of secondary industry output in GDP, population density, and social fixed asset investment exert the most significant effects on transportation structure efficiency. The spatial distribution of sub-variable coefficients shows that spatial heterogeneity exists in the degree of influence of various socio-economic factors on the transportation structure efficiency in different regions.