Residential Electricity Consumption Prediction Method Based on Deep Learning and Federated Learning Under Cloud Edge Collaboration Architecture

Author:

Wang Wei1,Wang Xiaotian1,Ma Xiaotian1ORCID,Zhao Ruifeng1,Yang Heng2

Affiliation:

1. State Grid Hebei Marketing Service Center, China

2. Beijing Tsingsoft Technology Co., Ltd., Beijing, China

Abstract

Traditional residential electricity prediction methods have problems, such as difficulty in ensuring user privacy and poor convergence speed due to the influence of Different Residential Electricity Consumption (REC) habits. A REC prediction method based on Deep Learning (D-L) and Fed-L under the Cloud Edge Collaboration (CEC) architecture is proposed to address the above issues. First, based on the CEC architecture, combining edge computing and cloud computing center server, the overall model of REC prediction is built. Then, Federated Learning (Fed-L) and D-L model Empirical Mode Decomposition - Long Short-Term Memory (EMD-LSTM) were introduced on the edge side, and the edge side Fed-L depth model was personalized by using EMD-LSTM. Finally, aggregation of edge side models was achieved in the cloud by receiving encrypted model parameters from the edge side and updating and optimizing all edge side models. The results show that the proposed method has the highest REC prediction accuracy, reaching 96.56%, and its performance is superior to the other three comparative algorithms.

Publisher

IGI Global

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