Predicting the Success of a Startup in Information Technology Through Machine Learning

Author:

Vasquez Edilberto1,Santisteban José1,Mauricio David1ORCID

Affiliation:

1. AI Group, Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Peru

Abstract

Predicting the success of a startup in information technology (SIT) is a very complex problem due to the diverse factors and uncertainty that affects it. The focus of automatic learning (ML) is promising because it presents good results for prediction issues; however, it presents a diversity of parameters, factors, and data that require consideration to improve prediction results. In this study, a systematic method is proposed to build a predictive model for SIT success, based on factors. The method consists of four processes, a hybrid model, and an inventory of 79 success factors. The method was applied to a database of 265 SITs from Australia with seven ML algorithms and three hybrid models based on the Voting strategy and the GreedyStepwise algorithm to reduce the factors. On average, precision increments in 11.69%, specificity in 3.25%, and accuracy in 21.75%; the prediction has precision of 82% and accuracy of 88%.

Publisher

IGI Global

Subject

General Computer Science

Reference67 articles.

1. Social network and the success of business startup.;A.Abou-Moghli;International Journal of Business and Management,2012

2. Risk assessment modeling for knowledge based and startup projects based on feasibility studies: A Bayesian network approach.;M.Akhavan;Knowledge-Based Systems,2021

3. Evaluating e-learning systems success: An empirical study.;D.Al-Fraihat;Computers in Human Behavior,2020

4. How entrepreneurial firms can benefit from alliances with large partners.;S.Alvarez;Acadacdemy Management Exececutive,2001

5. Predicting startup survival from digital traces: Towards a procedure for early stage investors.;T.Antretter;Proceedings of the 39th International Conference on Information System, ICIS 2018,,2018

Cited by 2 articles. 订阅此论文施引文献 订阅此论文施引文献,注册后可以免费订阅5篇论文的施引文献,订阅后可以查看论文全部施引文献

1. Comparative analysis of Start-up Success Rate Prediction Using Machine Learning Techniques;2024 Third International Conference on Smart Technologies and Systems for Next Generation Computing (ICSTSN);2024-07-18

2. Optimal investment strategy on data analytics capabilities of startups via Markov decision analysis;Decision Analytics Journal;2024-03

同舟云学术

1.学者识别学者识别

2.学术分析学术分析

3.人才评估人才评估

"同舟云学术"是以全球学者为主线,采集、加工和组织学术论文而形成的新型学术文献查询和分析系统,可以对全球学者进行文献检索和人才价值评估。用户可以通过关注某些学科领域的顶尖人物而持续追踪该领域的学科进展和研究前沿。经过近期的数据扩容,当前同舟云学术共收录了国内外主流学术期刊6万余种,收集的期刊论文及会议论文总量共计约1.5亿篇,并以每天添加12000余篇中外论文的速度递增。我们也可以为用户提供个性化、定制化的学者数据。欢迎来电咨询!咨询电话:010-8811{复制后删除}0370

www.globalauthorid.com

TOP

Copyright © 2019-2024 北京同舟云网络信息技术有限公司
京公网安备11010802033243号  京ICP备18003416号-3