Author:
Grakhov Valery,Mohnachev Sergey,Simakova Ulyana,Kislyakova Yuliya,Saidova Zarina,Armyanin Aleksej
Abstract
Abstract
The most important condition for the integration of the Russian transport infrastructure into the global logistics chain is the design and construction of high-speed railways. In the course of this research, the problems of implementation of high-speed highway “Moscow-Kazan” project by “High-speed Rail Lines” Joint stock Company were considered, and the necessity of large scale projects realization on high-speed railways construction was defined.
Then, the aggregate demand values were determined, and the distribution of traffic between different transportation modes was predicted. Finally, the induced demand value was forecasted. Based on the predicted passenger flow characteristics, the indicators of train traffic were calculated.
The passenger traffic on the road segment between Moscow and Kazan was studied. The methodology for passenger traffic calculation included the calculation of the induced demand, the possibility of passengers choosing the railway over other modes of transportation, and the evaluation of the demand fluctuations dynamics.
The scientific novelty of this study is the application of an improved method of statistical analysis in the calculation of passenger traffic. Along with the theoretical results, the carried out research has an utmost practical importance-its results can be applied in the design of main railways.
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