Risk of road-traffic accidents in the city of Kazan, Russia

Abstract

Abstract According to the records of the World Health Organization for the year 2018, mortality rate due to road traffic accidents (RTAs) in Russia is equal to 18 RTAs per 100,000 citizens. It ranks Russia the 72th among all the other countries in the world. Statistics of the road traffic accidents occurring between 2013 and 2019 was analyzed in order to reveal the major reasons thereof. The method of levelling of longstanding tendencies by analytical dependencies was used for the evaluation of dynamics and predictions of RTA number. As a result, predicted number of RTAs in 2020 in case of linear dependency was equal to 2118 cases and 1816 cases in case of tendency line. Common RTAs include collisions, hitting of pedestrians and falling of passengers. Most RTAs occur near apartment buildings with death toll rise by 23 % (27 deaths 2018/2017) and 218 % rise (2018/2017) in the number of RTAs near nonresidential buildings.